Is it possible that Secretary Jessie Robredo is still alive? Many people, including this writer remains optimistic. For one, though reports say the airplane crashed, and some debris were recovered, no single report says that rescuers found the main parts of the Cessna plane. The search and rescue have been expanded to four kilometers radius, more than the supposed two kilometer radius which preliminary experts believe, include the area where the crash was supposed to had happened.
It is highly unlikely that search and rescue teams still fail to identify the crash, since, as reports say, the crash happened just two kilometers away from the Masbate airport, meaning, near the shore. The place where the Moises Espinosa airport is in, sits a few kilometers away from the shore, which, if you look at the Google map, the depth of the Masbate sea is not as deep as others.
Several theories say that maybe the plane exploded in mid-air, that explains why there is still no clue as to where the entire plane crashed. If that is true, then, debris would have been found everywhere in the island.
Or, maybe the plane did not crash in the sea, but in an isolated island or it crashed inland. This explains why there is still no wreckage found in the supposed crash site. This puts the survive-ability higher than normal. An emergency landing on solid ground gives the pilot more options for a "safer" and not "hard" landing.
In a sea crash however, the velocity of the plane is a factor for survive-ability. If the plane just suddenly crashed, it is like a car smashing through a tough wall. That would have shattered the plane. However, it will definitely not sink as fast as what other people think. Fact is, it will actually float for a few precious minutes before sinking, unless, otherwise, it exploded in mid-air....
Reports say, Robredo called his wife thirty minutes before the supposed crash or "emergency landing". Robredo said that the plane was having some mechanical troubles. The right engine of the Cessna plane was already "fluctuating" when the plane took off in Cebu. That's according to DOTC secretary Mar Roxas, the designated spokesperson for the search.
Now, had the crash happened in the sea, then, there is also a great chance that Robredo is still alive, since, according to his family, he's a great swimmer. That's possible provided that the good secretary was able to extricate himself from the plane, which the aide de camp managed to do.
I read how rescuers managed to comb the mountains of Mt. Manunggal in Cebu for the wreckage of former President Ramon Magsaysay's plane. The 1957 Cebu Douglas c-47 crash was one of the most talked about incident in Philippine history.
The search and rescue identified the wreckage in a day. That plane was a reconditioned one and logged only 100 hours of flight.
In Robredo's plane, there is no information as to the number of air flights the plane already logged in.
Incidentally, do you know that Robredo is a Ramon Magsaysay awardee? Coincidentally that Robredo suffered the same fate as the one named in the award. I am still hoping that this is not the case, that the good secretary will still managed to remain alive.
But, like what others say, good men like Robredo, die young. Still, I cling to the hope that he is still somewhere out there, in an island, resting, tired but smiling.