Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Wally Sombrero a hero? WTF! What's the real score of the Bureau of Immigration Bribery scandal

THE WORLD IS REALLY GOING BOINKERS.

Imagine, a self-confessed briber and big-time gambling man is asking us, Filipinos, to pay him respects for being a "hero".

Wally Sombrero, a former cop, who gave monies to government officials, is asking us to be kind to him, and appreciate what he did.

Pleez.

Everybody knows who Sombrero is. Sombrero feeds on the corruption going on in government. He lives and breathe helping notorious personalities get away with almost everything by bribing their way out of any rut.

Senator Grace Poe is correct---this bribery which happened inside the Bureau of Immigration is proof-positive that corruption is now happening under the Duterte administration. And do you know the real score?

Several people say that the actual amount of the bribe is 150 million pesos. That's right--150 million pesos. No one in his actual mind would believe that Sombrero only promised 50 million pesos to BI officials. That amount is toooo small. 

Sombrero, according to some sources, already gave 50 million to a high government official, whom he called before he reportedly disappeared.

And he gave 50 million pesos to two (2) new BI Commissioners, namely Mike Robles and Al Argosino, which the two admitted getting and even divided it among themselves and other "associates" namely Charles Calima and Sombrero himself.

The fact is---Sombrero admitted that much when he was interviewed by Anthony Taberna and Gerry Baja in their show, "Dos por dos" over at DZMM Teleradyo.

The only question is---where is the rest of the 150 million pesos? Where is the remaining 50 million pesos? 

According to sources, the remaining 50 million pesos is still being kept by Sombrero. Now that Jack Lam is "on the lam", no one would account Sombrero for this amount.

So, who really earned from this scandal? 

Will Sombrero really owe up to this bribery scandal?

The truth is---these commissioners together with some unscrupulous BI officials did get their hefty bribes and they did think that they already got away with murder until my idol, Ramon Tulfo, wrote about it in his celebrated column over at the Philippine Daily Inquirer. 

Of course, these people deserve their day in court. Meaning, they can always say they were "in an operation to probe graft and corruption". 

Crap. 

These people do not respect their fellow brother, President Rodrigo Roa Duterte. They probably know the truth that this President is all babble, all talk, and nothing more. 

Because had they really feared Duterte, Robles, Argosino, Aguirre, Calima, Morente and even Sombrero would have probably entertained second thoughts on doing this bribery.

There's a joke going around legal circles, describing Lex Taliones as Lex Billiones. Members of this fraternity are reportedly so glad, they are having a grand time according to sources, raiding the public coffers, while their brad does his thing--trying to frighten us to submission. Why? So that no one would entertain thoughts of opposing them. 

Well, history has not been kind to these kinds of people. These grafters always get what they deserve.

Now, who now smiles from all of these? You guessed right--Atong Ang. And eventually, Jack Lam. 


China benefits from mines closure in Philippines

Is DENR secretary Gina Lopez being played by Chinese miners? Some friends say Lopez is trying to kill the mining industry in the Philippines by ordering the closure of 75 mine contracts in the country. Lopez described it as a gift of love to the peoples of Mindanao.

Who benefits from the death of mining in the Philippines? Surely, it's China.

China has vast stocked piles of mineral ores and mineral products. The world's biggest economy has had this problem since 2012. And demands for Chinese ore have cooled for the past few years. Analysts say this is a pesky problem which reflects the very economic state of China. Some say this stockpiling of mined products highlights China's weakening economy.

The solution for China's problem is simple---close their mines. That would be catastrophic for China. Had the Chinese government did exactly that--that would mean tremendous loss of jobs, as well as stoppage of industrial activity which impacts on several other industries linked with mining. A slowdown will cause China's economy to fall a few points.

With the closure of mines in the Philippines, China is now in the position of being the world's top source of nickel, copper, chromite even gold. Without mined ore from the Philippines, China can now dispose of millions of tons of steel products which they have stockpiles.

Of course, Lopez wants lost revenues from mining recovered from tourism. The main problem is, how do you attract tourists to these areas already "destroyed" by mining activities?

You need billions of pesos worth of investments. Where do you now get those billions, when everyone knows that it is too risky to invest in tourism in the Philippines?

You don't have a fully integrated and world-class airport system. You don't have a good road system. You still have a still-born private enterprise led tourism infrastructure. And there are just a handful of serious resort operators there willing to risk their monies for a venture which, in all seriousness, is still quite nebulous.

So, who, again gains from the closure of mines in the Philippines? Lopez will say the people. The question is--who then will the people go to when hunger now sets in these communities with the loss of economic activity?

We might have saved millions of Chinese' workers lives when we closed our own mines. How about the lives of Filipinos who depend on this economic activity for their daily sustenance? Does Lopez have a plan for them? I sincerely hope so.

Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Failure of peace talks, a serious tactical error by old CPP leaders

I hate to say this, but the old group of Jose Maria Sison has committed a serious tactical error when they allowed themselves to be fooled by Mr. Rodrigo Roa Duterte. They forgot the one thing that enable them to survive for all these years, and that is, using scientific methods in making assessments about the socio-economic and political environment. I blame them for trusting their feelings instead of recognising first hand that Mr. Duterte is simply no different from his predecessors. Joma was too trusting and too presumptuous that he believed in his mind that he can simply make Mr. Duterte toe the CPP line all because Mr. Duterte is his former student.

First of all, Mr. Duterte is too proud of himself and some say, too full of himself, that he wants people to kowtow to him, praise him like an Emperor and do what he wants them to do. These peace talks fail because Duterte has his own ideas and Mr. Sison etal have their own. Duterte's understanding of the people's struggle is as shallow as a stream during a drought. Duterte suffers from a sickness which his idol, former dictator Ferdie Marcos once suffered---the illusion of being a revolutionary, even a Socialist when all they are are Fascists.

Now I know why the People's War has not advanced the way other movements did in Vietnam, China and even Cambodia. These leaders are simply Caciques wearing Maoist uniforms. Like Mr. Duterte, Joma and his group of NDF leaders can't really shake off their true class roots. They are simply hippies who are inspired by the 1896 revolution without really understanding or had a correct interpretation of what that revolution was all about.

That 1896 Revolution was a classic manifestation of inter-class struggle---when an emerging professional class tried to wrest control of government from the dominant elite group composed of foreign colonialists and their wealthy Chinese counterparts. It was a power struggle with the aim of eradicating class discrimination.

The present condition of this country necessitates a revolution from below--an authentic revolt coming from the basic sectors of Filipino society. Our fight in this era is a fight against excesses of power and authority by Oligarchs, the dismantling of the traditional patronage system which has caused the growth of elitist domination and the creation of a better managed system.

Anyway, with this serious tactical error which exposed the Movement more clearly than how Marcos did during his time, the only solution to this is the emergence of New Leadership in the movement. This is an inter-generational fight that would only end with the emergence of a new generation of Filipinos whose only quest in life is the installation of a society which encourages fair play and a more carefully managed economy.

Instead of pursuing nationalist capitalism--which is the main Concept being pursued by hawks and supporters of US president Donald Trump-- Filipinos should pave the way towards the creation of a nationalist socialism which espouses protection of critical sectors of the economy while encouraging growth of enterprise for the sake of the majority.

Filipinos must accept the creation of a Council which will wrest power from traditional power centers and replace them with new, progressive forces whose goal is simply to improve the standard of living of Filipinos.


In cancelling peace talks--Duterte unmasked

NOW, there is simply no doubt about it--Duterte is Socialist as what Hitler was. Former German dictator Hitler once described himself as a Socialist, only to isolate himself and eventually say, he's a "national socialist"--whatever that means. During the campaign, Duterte pictured himself as a Socialist which immediately puts him as a threat, a risk, to the status quo.

Duterte even cursed several Oligarchs and impressed upon the people that he meant well, that he is for the eradication of endo and that he is only concerned with the welfare of the Filipino People.

When true Socialists heard that, several got goosebumps and supported him, and imagined him to be a potential Chavez who, from being a Colonel turned into a Socialist and became this century's progressive icon. The fact is, I just remembered even NDF leaders especially Joma Sison, Luis Jalandoni and several others mimicking Duterte's (in)famous fist sign.

With the cancellation of the peace negos, and Duterte even ordering his negotiators back, this just showed where Duterte's loyalties are----he is no different than his predecessors.

As what I have expected eversince--Duterte is a poster boy of the elite. He talks like a tambay but he can't simply shake off his real class roots--that of a cono, who gets what he wants. And when he does'nt, Duterte makes war.

What is laughable about all these is the stupidity of those who believed in him. I have to give it to Duterte--he fooled even the likes of "political analysts" like Joma. Worse, Joma and the rest of those who believed in these peace talks have placed the entire Movement in a very embarrassing situation. Their pronouncements, their statements after Duterte's declaration are totally unacceptable, and an embarassment to the entire progressive movement.

With their statements, these "leaders" have shown great weakness. They still want to talk when their enemy wants to fight.

Jalandoni even declared that the NPA will assume a defensive stance. What? Your enemy wants to annihilate you and you will just "defend" yourself. I thought the PPW is in the stage of defensive stalemate? Why a defensive war?

This has seriously put in doubt and in question the leadership qualities of these people. I hate to say it but I think we have had enough of these personalities. Joma and the rest of the NDF leaders in Utretch committed a grave tactical error that placed the Party and the movement in a very stupid position. They should resign their commissions and possibly tender their resignations. It is time for new leadership.

Otherwise, this will cause another split among the ranks of the revolutionary movement. My assessment is that even if Joma and his group managed to convince Mr. Duterte to sign off the social-economic agreement, this will simply not be enough to cause a bilateral ceasefire agreement.

My guts tell me that those who are with the Party right now are willing to fight Duterte with whatever they have right now. Duterte is a real threat to the Filipino People. With his unmasking, Duterte is now siding with the militarists who simply want to rule this country with an iron hand. This bodes ill to freedom and democracy loving Filipinos out there.

A full-blown war with the CPP-NPA-NDF will affect the economy and will put whatever confidence investors have with our country in serious doubt. It will not only exhaust the resources of the State but will be used by Duterte as reason for the declaration of martial rule.

I think Mr. Duterte should seriously reconsider his actions. Almost 90 percent of Filipinos do not want martial rule. I think Mr. Duterte is miscalculating his luck.


Sunday, February 5, 2017

Duterte wants war against NPA---preclude to Martial law?

Another campaign promise down the drain. After promising to rid the country of the scourge of drug addiction within six months, and failing, now, our president says he's scratching out the peace talks with the Communist Party of the Philippines (CPP) and is urging soldiers to prepare for a "long war." Duterte even said, he expects "no peace" in this generation.

Mr. President, I hate to say this, but you are wrong.

Mr. President you have created an illusion of instability in this country and for what? The CPP-NPA-NDF has been waging war for the past forty plus years and they are in for the long haul, as what Joma wrote in several of his articles. The Party is committed to a protracted people's war (PPW) and there is no cause for them to be alarmed by your pronouncement of war because the Party has overcome much better opposition from more worthy opponents in the past.

The Party has overcome the brutalities of a dictatorship and it will not matter anymore if yours turn into a copycat Macoy-like administration because, they have survived such 36 years ago.

Two Aquinos came, and the Party withstood brickbats from all fronts calling it a moribund and "out of touch" party. A former military man tried to talk with the Party but he failed. A populist president ascended Malacanan and waged war, a brutal one, but realized his mistake when, after 2 years, the Party joined forces with civil society and ousted him.

A social democrat replaced that populist president but even went as far as approving an assassination attempt against the NDF leadership based in the Netherlands. She even approved the US decision to tag the CPP-NPA-NDF and its leaders of being a terror organisation.

Mr. Duterte, you are not dealing with amateurs here. Lest you forget, this is the Big League.

Of course, everyone know that one of your least admirable traits is your impatience. You want action. You have been accustomed to a life which is a perfumed one. When you were young, your mother gave your every whim and caprice. That's why you act your class--you're a cono throughout.

Mr. Duterte, this Party has been fighting for the freedom of all Filipinos against capitalist exploitation, against Oligarchs, against landlords who continually oppress 32 million Filipinos and enslave them and want nothing more than for these Filipinos to continue being slaves of the land they have toiled, and have tilled since their childhood.

Mr. Duterte, peace in this country remains elusive because of the antics of such people like you who refused to understand the deepest reasons why Filipinos militate against their government.

You can't have peace by calling yourself, "socialist" or by portraying that you know what ails the Filipino. No. That's a child talking there.

Sincerity. Faith. Patience. Those are qualities which a peacemaker should have if one is really sincere in seeing these lands and these people appeased.

Life is not black and white. You don't want to talk to me? Then let's war. That's not how to handle a state matter such as this.

War is for fools. War is something only a Juan Tamad wants. You don't give me what I want, then let's war? Stupid.

Mr. Duterte--you are not as strong as you think you are. You even mocked God, by profaning Him and His Will, saying in public that you deserve heaven. Heaven is for those who continually work for the betterment of his fellow human being. Those who kill deserve the hottest fires of hell.

There is still room for peace.

1. It is time for the private sector to intervene. Let's form a peace coalition of Filipinos or Coalition of Filipinos for Peace (CFP) who want to end this interacine war that has been raging since the very inception of this Republic.

2. Empower this private initiative to have a formal status. For years, we have been funding the OPAPP but sadly though, this agency has failed, and failed repeatedly. Now is the time to field new people who understand the real situation and is willing to mediate between the GRP and the CPP-NPA-NDF.

Mr. Duterte, if you are really sincere in your promises, be true to your words. There is still time. Otherwise, if you really want war, then prepare for its dire consequences. Like you said, it will be nasty....and bloody. No one wants a bloody war. It will drain state resources, and eventually cost you your presidency. 


Saturday, February 4, 2017

Legal Edge tackles Rule of Law in pilot episode over ANC, ABS-CBN NEWS CHANNEL, GLOBAL NEWS CHANNEL

Is it legal for cops to ask motorcyle riders to alight from their motorcycles and pry open their bags at checkpoints? How about if you marry twice without annulling the first, will you be charged with either adultery if you are a woman or concubinage if you are a man?

These are questions ordinary people like us encounter in our daily lives. What are the available remedies for us?

Questions like these are what excites Dean JV Bautista, dean of the John Wesley School of Law and Governance, the fastest growing law school in  Central Luzon and distinguished litigator Atty. IQ Tuason, hosts of ANC's newest legal show, " Legal Edge" which airs for the first time today, February 4, at 3:30 in the afternoon up to 4pm. Replays of the show happens at 5:30-6pm (primetime Sunday) every Sundays beginning tomorrow.

Everyone in the legal profession knows Dean JV Bautista, a popular legal advocate and practitioner, who fought the Marcos dictatorship and continues to fight for the rights of ordinary folks. He's the outspoken defender of human rights during the Marcos law years and has served as Secretary General of UNA.

Meanwhile, Atty Tuason is the former governor of the Integrated Bar of the Philippines in Central Luzon. She's beautiful outside but feisty on the inside. She's what we call "confidently beautiful" among women in the legal profession.

I heard for the first or pilot episode, Dean Bautista and Atty IQ would tackle the issue of "Rule of Law." THIS IS A HOT ISSUE IN THE PHILIPPINES right now.

Don't fail to watch this new show. Please. And support it by sharing it later.

Internal cleansing of the PNP is necessary

Businessman Jee Ick-Joo murdered right inside
the national police headquarters
This is a very interesting read regarding this Jee Ick-Joo murder in the Philippines. It revealed who is really behind the murder of the South Korean businessman right inside the PNP headquarters. See link: https://iskandalph.com/2017/02/04/korean-mafia-murdered-jee-ick-joo/

What is too disheartening about this expose is the undeniable fact that several of our cops are into assassinations and they are using the Oplan Tokhang or Double Barrel campaign as "cover" to the real reason why they are killing alleged "drug suspects" or "drug pushers."

To the credit of PNP chief General Bato dela Rosa, he has revealed this early on in the campaign, that is it inevitable that some members of the PNP would be involved in such criminal activities and would be using the campaign as a ruse. The PNP is living up to its name of being one of the most corrupt police organisations in the world.

Really now, the PNP organisation is worth saving because these scalawags are just a few, a miniscule part of the entire force. These people are using their "chapas" as cover to their real mission in life, which is to kill, rob and do other despicable things in the name of money.

I have many friends in the service who want real change to happen in their lifetimes, cops are real people like us who want nothing more than be part of an organisation of men who dedicate their lives for the protection, not for the alienation, of the citizenry. Cops are part of the professional forces and they are an essential component of our aim to improve the standard of life here in the Philippines.

I believe, strongly, that these cops want nothing more than be part of an organisation who protect the citizenry from criminal elements. When a cop turns rogue, and becomes a criminal, that is one less cop to protect a 10,000 Filipinos. Imagine that.

I don't know about you, but if I am the Chief PNP, I would immediately fire those involved in this murder of Jee Ick-Joo. I would not subject them to just push-ups----firing them from the service is the most appropriate punishment. When a cop loses discipline, pushups are lame remedies.

Is Bato too afraid with these cops? If I am the Chief PNP, I would slap criminal charges against these cops, fire them from the service and see to it that they are either in jail suffering life imprisonment or deep six feet underground.

This is the problem with Bato dela Rosa---he has become a politician of a cop. Please sir, don't. The very first time General dela Rosa appeared on television, people thought that they have a strong ally on their side. Right now, Dela Rosa is showing very weak leadership qualities.

Sir, the PNP needs a strong leader so that everyone would not stray from the path. As things stand, General dela Rosa is either a wimp or simply, an idiot, a man who only knows how to fire a gun, and nothing else. Worst, some think that Bato is really a homosexual hiding behind Duterte's skirt.

Sir, if you think that killing poor drug offenders or small-time criminals contribute to the overall restoration of peace and order, you are mistaken. As they say, talagang pang small time itong si Bato. Takot maging sa kapwa les-pu.

Sir, execute your mission. Annihilate these rogues in uniform. You either jail them or kill them. These people don't deserve to live simply because they have violated their sworn oath, and when a man breaks his own oath, there is no more reason for him to live. It is as if he loses his self, his soul. What is a man without his soul, right sir?


Saturday, January 21, 2017

Bato lost all moral ascendancy to lead PNP

It started with a bang and will end with a whimper, this anti-drugs campaign of the Duterte administration. What I am very worried about is that with just the whim of an obsessed man, it literally threw away more than 25 years worth of efforts at transforming our police forces into a civilian-oriented, human rights abiding security force.

In just seven months, our Philippine National Police (PNP) became more brazen and more blood thirsty. Seven months ago, I wrote in this blog my apprehensions at using the anti-drugs campaign of government as a centerpiece propaganda of this administration. Now, my fears are beginning to appear. Instead of becoming a legacy of Mr. Duterte, this anti-drugs campaign is turning into his worst nightmare.

Is this the fault of PNP chief General Bato dela Rosa? Yes. Why? He showed insincerity at the very onset of the campaign. Look at how he handled the case of the mayor of Leyte. Look at how he conducted himself when he faced those accused of being involved in drugs--Bato told the public that he's friends with this and that--that sent a wrong signal to other PNP officials. Bato became a victim of his own undoing. His propensity of taking the focus to himself became Bato's weak point and it was exploited by his enemies inside the PNP organisation.

Now, Bato faces a most serious challenge in his entire career and worse, it came from Speaker Pantaleon Alvarez, the President's political ally. Alvarez is calling for Bato to tender his resignation to avoid an obvious humiliating backlash which could affect President Duterte.

If he does not mete the proper punishment to those responsible for the gruesome murder of this Korean and other so-called drug suspects, Bato should definitely resign for delicadeza and for command responsibility.


Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Corruption as a smart way of besting others

I wrote the Sisa Syndrome sometime in September 2010 (take a look at http://www.newphilrevolution.com/2010/09/filipinos-and-sisa-syndrome.html) and its very words are still true up to this day.

However, what I am concerned about is our slow descent towards strong man rule, a wrongful interpretation of History and us, as a people. Since the very founding of this nation, we, Filipinos are accustomed to the democratic way of living. We want to do things our way. We want to be free of doing things which we want to do.

As a consequence, our individual interests most often, clash with the collective interest. We want to be rich, but in doing so, several of us think of using government as their personal bank or cash cow. They indulge in worldly things at the expense of others. There is simply nothing good about that.

Often, in our hopelessness or when we are struck with that feeling, most of us think of just surrendering ourselves to the soft and comfortable bosom of a Leader who sweet talks us into believing that he knows the solution to our problems. We wrongfully submit to the beguiling words of this Leader only to learn later than he is just the same as the others.

Take the case of former president Benigno S. Aquino III. He started his administration on the right path only to squander everything in the last three years when he and his associates began raiding the public coffers. This same thing happened with Arroyo. Arroyo came into power as a counterpose against a perceived corrupt president Estrada only to prove herself as more coarse in constitutional thievery than him.

Why do we serve government? We are in government because we want to change things. That is supposed to be the motivation of people. Overtime, it became apparent that the prime reason why people indulge in politics is to gain a foothold in government for wealth generation.

These people of previous administrations and possibly even so in this administration are totally brazen in their desire to be "smarter than others" as what former First Lady Imelda Marcos once said. I agree---some are really smarter than others. Some are smart the good way, while others use their brains to get ahead of others thru stolen public funds.

Some steal big, others small. There is an ongoing principle while serving government---you need to achieve your personal quota. Someone once told me that in Malacanan, if you are a political appointee, you need to get at least 7 million pesos before you leave office. That's the minimum. In other agencies, the "minimum and guaranteed take" is between 30 to 40 million pesos especially if you take office in a regulatory agency.  Imagine a thousand people in government having that thought and taking action to realize that--you have minimum 30 billion pesos just going to the pockets of men in public office.

Charge them in court. Make them suffer. Beautiful words. Historically, this does not happen.

Just consider how many dismissed cases the Ombudsman and the Sandiganbayan dispense every single month and these cases are not small ones--those involving high government officials are expected to be dismissed over time. Eat dirt for a month or several months but expect none of the experience of spending equal time with murderers in the Bilibid in the end.

If you don't charge them in court, at least humiliate them in public. In most cases, this tactic fails. These people are so proud, so thick skinned and so accustomed with the game that they don't care if people accuse them of thievery. At least, as what Meldy says, " they are still smarter than others."

In my book, these smart alecks deserve a unique tokhang which I call "talk bang." Talk them out of it, but they continue their nefarious way, shoot them, kill them, mangle them and feed them to the crocs. For desert, serve their sons and daughters too.




Coup d'├ętat against Duterte? Nah. I don't think so.

Presidential Communications secretary Martin Andanar should be very cautious and circumspect before he raises any issue at all. IN the first week of January, Andanar was quote as saying that there is a group now actively campaigning for the ouster of his principal, President Duterte. He points to a wealthy Filipinos-American businesswoman as behind this, and even tagged several members of the Vice president's staff as involved, although he was very careful not to directly involve the vice president Leni Robredo at all. Robredo has consistently denied being part of any plot, and even that US-based Filipina also belied it.

Obviously, Andanar's " scare tactics" will never work and it is too obvious. It came before the release of two surveys, the Pulse Asia and SWS, which points to a slight drop in trust and satisfaction ratings.  It was a highly deliberate tactic, which we, in the PR industry, knows as a mitigation tactic--ascribing blame over others. What Andanar wants us to believe is that the reason why people are slowly having fewer trust and lower satisfaction about this administration is that there is a deliberate attempt by anti-Duterte forces to influence public trust and satisfaction.

This is bullshit.

First off, the dip in Duterte's satisfaction and trust rating is, if you look at the presidential ratings from Aquino to Aquino, or an historical assessment, is highly regular. Ratings of presidents go South really after a year or two. In Duterte's case however, it came unexpectedly after six months, which is fast, if you ask me, considering that this administration has always said that Duterte is highly popular with the masses. A change in the perception from positive to negative is a cause of worry but this cannot be the handiwork of saboteurs. Ratings dip, and this is a given in any administration.

Second, I think that there is really no serious group out there sabotaging the President or making sure that he fumbles and fails in his mission. For one, the controversies that surrounded or hounded this president last year came from his very mouth. Doubts about his health came out when Duterte himself admitted he's sick and is using a powerful painkiller being used by cancer patients. Of course, people in the know would express their concerns realizing that stability rests on the health of the Chief Executive. We already have an experience with former president Marcos who lied constantly during his term and even denied that he was sick with lupus, and eventually, the issue broke out in humiliating fashion after his ouster from office. That explains that provision in the Constitution about the health of the President being revealed in public and there is simply nothing wrong with people expressing concerns about the President's health.

I think what concerns Malacanan right now are the following issues:

1. Malacanan is losing grip of Congress. Several sectors are questioning the leadership of both Houses and the possibility of a change looms.

2. Economic. The rate of foreign investments outflow is fast. If it stays that way and becomes a trend, there are serious repercussions to our economy.

3. Imposition of new taxes and that SSS pension fund issue are very serious. If the public are made aware of that SSS proposal to try and raise contributions from its members to fund that 1,000 pesos extra in pension, that would seriously turn into a very nasty public backlash.

4. That proposal of Diokno to impose taxes on diesel is a highly explosive economic issue which could turn seriously political the moment they implement it. Diokno's reasons are understandable; but for a public who has been brainwashed into thinking that the Philippines is on an economic roll, such a measure would turn fast into a political issue which could seriously undermine this administration.

5. There is now a growing public perception that this government is not vigilant in making sure that prices of goods stay within consumer expectations. Inflation is worsening.

Okey--what am I saying here? Government inaction and possibly, absence of strategic planning and thinking and the lackluster management and handling of the OP of certain things are contributing towards the fast deterioration of things in our country. As what Senator Trillanes said, one does not need to destabilize this administration because it is destabilizing itself, and that is true. Duterte may fall by his own sword if he does not seriously address the root cause of these things which is simply his aversion to address serious issues of governance and his overzealousness in the fight against drugs which has affected other more substantive aspects of governance.

His administration needs him to provide direction and it is becoming obvious that he is not stepping up to the plate. The fact is--Duterte's path or direction rans contrary to what most of his Cabinet members think and this is seriously destabilizing him. Honestly, I don't expect Duterte to change because I think, serving as mayor for 22 years already, our president is seriously tired. He's old, and he's accustomed to a governance style that could only be described as "remote control". Yes, you can do that to a small city but to a country of 101 million souls? Duterte is expected to protect people's interests against the interests of carpet-baggers and influence peddlers and bureaucrat capitalists who now surround him. Yes, these are allies, but these people are concerned only of their own personal and fiduciary interests, neither the country's nor the people's. The minute Duterte becomes weak and weaker still, expect these people to abandon him.

Andanar should not point to other people--he should tell the truth as part of his public mandate. Andanar should realize that his boss is not Duterte but the people. He is the Secretary of a Department which is created by the Constitution. He should not start a fire which could backfire eventually.

The lesson here is simple---do not think that people nowadays are fools or stupid idiots. People are highly informed. Raising the red flag at this early stage is detrimental to the administration, not at all helping the efforts at stabilizing or lowering the level of anxiety over the administration.

Look---after Andanar's supposed revelation (which I believe is self-serving; of course, Andanar's stock as a reliable or trustworthy member of Duterte's cabinet is assured after him giving the President a "heads up". Rumors of his eventual ouster or replacement would definitely be just that, rumors. Andanar is very influential being the husband of the daughter of an Aguilar, who happens to be the relative of Senator Cynthia Aguilar-Villar, a strong electoral contributor and political ally of the President), investors, I was informed, immediately took a position of "wait and see." With Andanar's propensity to shoot his mouth off, there will surely be a time when he becomes that kid who cried wolf. That is not good.

Political Instability possible in Philippines: Worrying drops in public satisfaction in just 6 months

A US-based think tank has just released their report telling of a mnimum degree or level of political instability in the Philippines. This comes shortly after the release of two surveys, SWS and PulseAsia which both show the ratings of the president dipping somewhat, but stays "pretty good" says SWS.

Overall, that 70 plus ratings is really pretty good. However, note that this ratings dip happened in just six months which is alarming to say the least. Yes, there is still 7 out of 10 Filipinos who trust our president but as to public perception per issue which this administration has been involved with, there is a noticeable change in the percentages of people having positive views about government action.

Let me put here a part of the report of Helen Flores of the Philippine Star which you can see at http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2017/01/11/1661646/satisfaction-rody-govt-dips-still-very-good

It got “very good” net rating in helping the poor (+66 from +63 in September); promoting human rights (+56 from +63); defending the country’s territorial rights (+54 from +53); providing jobs (+51 from +46); fighting crime (+50 from +58); and developing science and technology (+50 from +49).
It received “good” scores in ensuring an efficient transportation system (+48 from +39); foreign relations (+46 from +39); eradicating graft and corruption (+45 from +57); fighting terrorism (+41 from +55); ensuring that no family will ever be hungry (+34 from +37); reconciliation with Muslim rebels (+33 from +42); reconciliation with communist rebels (+30 from +39); and solving the problem of extrajudicial killings or EJK, which was included in its governance report card for the first time, at +40.
It obtained moderate scores in fighting inflation (+25 from +33); and recovering the hidden wealth of the late strongman Ferdinand Marcos and his cronies, which was included in the survey for the first time, at +24.

Do you notice something strange?

IN the issue regarding "fighting crime", public perception dipped 8 points from positive 58 to 50. This is the centerpiece issue of this administration. PNP chief Bato has been saying all along that the public approve of what they are doing. Why only 50 percentage points? This shows there is a huge number (about 50%) of the population not satisfied with what is truly happening on the ground.

Notice the alarming drops in public trust or perception in the fight against corruption 45 from 57, a 12 percentage point drop. Meaning, the graft and corruption exists and probably is worsening under this administration, again, despite what the President has promised that "there will be no corruption" in this government. He has repeated this several times even during the campaign period, that my ears actually swelled because of this.

On the issue of extra judicial killing, more Filipinos are now having second thoughts or negative views about it, about 60 percent because the only ones who see it on a positive light is about 40. This, again, belies what the PNP and this government are saying---that more people approve this Gestapo-like tactics in addressing the issue of drug addiction. Reality check points to a very low score.

Worse, this administration should be extremely concerned that this administration is now failing in two fronts: inflation which is a serious economic issue which affects the poort and a highly divisive political issue, which is the recovery of hidden wealth of the late strongman Ferdinand Marcos which is just 24, a truly failing grade, if you ask me.

And this is just for the past six months. This is, curiously, like the trend which we saw during the time of Erap.

Saturday, December 31, 2016

What do we expect in 2017 and beyond

A rabbi just predicted that the 10th Jubilee ends in 2017. What this means is catastrophic---the next Jubilee is expected to reveal astronomical anomalies and heavenly truths to those who believe in the revelation of a Messiah.

IN the United Kingdom, many psychics see the rise of economic crises, with people rioting due to food shortage. Failure to contain the exodus of migrants from the Middle East is expected to further strain the already depressed economies of the European Union (EU).

For the Philippines, it is quite easy to see where all these things are heading. The last quarters of 2016 show a predictive pattern, especially when it comes to investments.

We don't need psychics to tell us of massive outflows of foreign investments in the Philippines. It is not because the Philippines is not a hot place to put your monies---it is that the United States continues to show positive developments that attract hot money away from developing economies and back to developed ones. The dollar is strengthening and in doing so, is weakening other currencies particularly the peso. IN the last six months, the peso was the most underperforming currency. Of course, economic growth will still be in the positive even after 2017, but I think our economic planning agency will re-calibrate or re-assess the impact of US and European developments to our economic growth.

The problem with the United States is self-evident---lack of new products due to uninspired innovation. In previous years, the reason why the US remained as the world's top economy is because it produced products and services that the rest of the world needed or aspired for. It produced massive surpluses that fed and clothe the world. Now, that role is now with China, that explains why China is now the biggest economy in the world.

From being an economic superpower to the world's military superpower--that is a shift that the US government is trying to correct. From the eighties administration to Obama's, the US assumed the role of a top cop which unfortunately, not only tarnished its reputation globally, it also made it the prime target of extremism and terrorism.

And because Europe is a strong ally, it likewise committed the same mistake as what the US experienced. Leaders of these continents became so engrossed with tightening the noose in the Middle East that they forgot to take care of their economies.

Of course, this would not last long as technological innovations continually create digital disruptions in global communities. I think at this point leaders from these countries already realized that they have the competitive advantages in this sector. They cannot really compete with China and India when it comes to traditional manufacturing---it is rational for them to re-focus their attention on further improving technologies for billions of people around the world, but it should be way past the mobile telephony sector.

These disruptions are actually positive developments since it feeds into innovations. Innovation is the fodder of development. Societies develop only when innovation leads to products that people use. The new is the market.